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RESOURCE ASSESSMENT &
CONSERVATION ENGINEERING (RACE) DIVISION (cont.)

Shellfish Assessment- Kodiak Laboratory

Data assembly for the 2002 eastern Bering Sea survey is completed, computations of abundance were finished by 16 August,  and all guideline harvest levels have been determined by joint NMFS - ADF&G analysis.  This work forms the scientific basis for the joint state-federal management of eastern Bering Sea and Aleutian Island crab stocks under the terms of a NPFMC fishery management plan (FMP).  Results have been promulgated through dissemination of charts and tables, as well as ADF&G news releases.  Results have been reviewed by the NPFMC’s crab plan team and compiled into the annual Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation (SAFE) report, which will be presented to the Council during their October meeting.  Results will soon be incorporated in the Report to Industry on the 2002 Eastern Bering Sea Trawl Survey.  Numbers presented are trawl survey indices of population level and do not necessarily represent absolute abundance.  Results are as follows:

Red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) Bristol Bay.
Legal males:  9.5 million crabs; 8% increase.
Prerecruits:  10.1 million crabs; 138% increase.
Large females:  19.0 million crabs; 11% decrease.
Synopsis:  Abundance of most male size groups essentially doubled, perhaps indicating that the 2001 estimate was somewhat low.  Mature females show little change.  High numbers of sublegal male crabs indicate good recruitment for future fisheries.  All new-shell females carried new eggs. Reproductive population estimates are well above the minimum stock size threshold (MSST); the stock is not considered to be in the overfished level of abundance.
GHL:  9.3 million lb (4,218  metric tons (t)).  Fishery opens 15 October 2002.

Red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) Pribilof District.
Legal males:  1.8 million crabs; no change.
Prerecruits:  0.02 million crabs; 99% decrease.
Large females:  0.44 million crabs; 89% decrease.
Outlook:  Crabs are highly concentrated, and index has very low precision.  Females are poorly estimated. Reproductive population estimates are above the MSST; the stock is not considered to be in the overfished level of abundance.  No recruitment is apparent.  Red king crabs in the Pribilof Islands region are usually harvested along with blue king crabs and are currently the dominant species.  There is concern that unacceptable levels of blue king crab  incidental catch could occur in a red king crab fishery.
GHL:  Fishery will not open in 2002.

Pribilof Islands blue king crab (P. platypus) Pribilof District.
Legal males:  0.2 million crabs; 50% decrease.
Prerecruits:  0.02 million crabs; 84% decrease.
Large females:  1.2 million crabs; 23% decrease.
Outlook:  Population is low, and trends are not easily detectable.  Little or no recruitment is apparent.  Reproductive population estimate fell below the MSST in 2002, and the stock is now considered to be in the overfished level of abundance.
GHL:  Fishery will not open in 2002.

St. Matthew blue king crab (P. platypus) Northern District.
Legal males:  0.6 million crabs; 39% decrease.
Prerecruits:  0.2 million crabs; 62% decrease.
Large females:  Not well estimated.
Outlook:  Population has declined steeply since 1998. Abundance estimates are affected by the portion of the stock occupying untrawlable grounds. Reproductive population estimate continues to be below the MSST in 2002, and the stock is considered to be in the overfished level of abundance.
GHL:  Fishery will not open in 2002.

Tanner crab (Chionoecetes bairdi) Eastern District.
Legal males:  6.9 million crabs; 5% decrease.
Prerecruits:  15.1 million crabs; 13% decrease.
Large females:  11.3 million crabs; 14% decrease.
Outlook:  Population is decreasing slightly due to continued low recruitment. Reproductive population estimate continues to be below the MSST in 2002, and the stock is considered to be in the overfished level of abundance.
GHL:  Fishery will not open in 2002.

Snow crab (C. opilio) All districts combined.
Large males:  76.1 million crabs; 2% decrease.
Prerecruits:  248.0 million crabs; 12% decrease.
Large females:  500.7 million crabs; 67% decrease.
Outlook:  Apparent recruitment that led to increased biomass in each of the past 2 years has dissipated.  Precipitous decrease in large female abundance may reflect the uncertainty of recent estimates as well since estimates have been dominated by a small number of tows. Lack of recruitment to female reproductive stock is evidenced by the increasing prevalence of old-shelled crab. Number of small males and females is also declining. Reproductive population estimate that slightly exceeded MSST in 2001 is below the MSST in 2002, and the stock is considered to be in the overfished level of abundance but is above 50% MSST. Under the current rebuilding plan and harvest strategy the fishery would be closed if the stock fell below 50% MSST.
GHL:  27.3 million lb (12,381 t).  Fishery is currently scheduled to open 15 January 2003.

Hair crab (Erimacrus isenbeckii)
Large males:  4.2 million crabs; 81% increase.
Large females:  Not well estimated.
Outlook:  Population has been declining for several years but recruitment trends are unclear.
GHL:  236,368 lb (107 t).  The fishery in the Northern District of the Bering Sea will open 10 days following the closure of the Bristol Bay red king crab fishery.  The Pribilof District and Bristol Bay portion of Registration Area J will not open in 2002.

Snow Crab Research
Research is under way under the recently established ADF&G/NMFS (AFSC) snow crab Memorandum of Understanding (MOU).  The first field research collections for this research were completed in August 2002.  September collections are under way aboard the chartered fishing vessel Fierce Allegiance as of this writing.  This joint research project has three goals:  1) provide quantitative measures of the EBS snow crab stock reproductive potential and the means to better assess impacts to that potential due to harvest of males;  2) specify the seasonality of the Bering Sea snow crab female reproductive cycle; and 3) specify the seasonality of male molting and testing the terminal-molt hypothesis for morpho-metrically mature male snow crab under natural conditions in the Bering Sea. Collections will be made in two specifically chosen study areas every 2 months over the next year.

This project is the first year-round study of EBS snow crab reproduction.  Results are intended to provide quantitative measures of the stock’s reproductive potential and the means to better assess impacts to that potential due to harvest of males.  Snow crabs are jointly managed by the ADF&G and NMFS according to the FMP for king and Tanner crabs in the eastern Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands pursuant to the Magnuson-Stevens Fisheries Conservation and Management Act.  Snow crab fisheries in the EBS have recently have been among the Nation’s most valuable fisheries but are subject to extreme variation in recruitment.

By Robert Otto.

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