Subject: Nonlinearity in Natural Time Series: Toward Better Understanding and Prediction in Marine Fisheries.   (video)

Speaker: George Sugihara, Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UCSD
When: Tuesday, 23 May 2006, 10:00 am
Where: Bldg. 4, Traynor Seminar Room, Rm. 2076,  AFSC, Sand Point Campus, Seattle, Washington

Dear Colleagues,

George Sugihara is our next AFSC speaker. George is a Professor at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UCSD. He has gone from a career in biological sciences to financial analysis and back again. George is the author of a large breadth of scientific papers, including a recent article in the journal Nature entitled “Distinguishing random environmental fluctuations from ecological catastrophes for the North Pacific Ocean.”

The seminar will be transmitted live to Auke Bay and Newport (BF101) Labs, and recorded on tape/disk.

Nonlinearity in Natural Time Series: Toward Better Understanding and Prediction in Marine Fisheries.

George Sugihara
Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UCSD
gsugihara@ucsd.edu

Abstract:

Some basic concepts and methods from nonlinear time series analysis will be introduced and applications will be discussed that may hold implications for a diverse body of scientific groups: from scientists who study physical ocean processes such as El Niño events to environmental managers charged with overseeing and sustaining ecosystem resources such as fisheries. Of particular interest is the fact that the concepts and methods relate to many disciplines involving complex webs of mutually interacting parts, such as ecosystems and world financial markets, which have the potential for unexpected collapse and irreversible change.